Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002301 0.002439 0.002585 0.002753 0.002941 0.003146 0.003389
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002071 0.002257 0.002465 0.002718 0.003020 0.003375 0.003833
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001938 0.002159 0.002415 0.002741 0.003153 0.003673 0.004400
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001822 0.002062 0.002350 0.002731 0.003236 0.003909 0.004930
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001714 0.001964 0.002270 0.002687 0.003262 0.004067 0.005375
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001667 0.001934 0.002272 0.002745 0.003427 0.004440 0.006237
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001618 0.001898 0.002259 0.002780 0.003560 0.004783 0.007154
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001548 0.001830 0.002198 0.002739 0.003571 0.004931 0.007755
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001474 0.001751 0.002116 0.002661 0.003515 0.004953 0.008102
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001431 0.001711 0.002085 0.002653 0.003569 0.005175 0.008978
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001348 0.001613 0.001969 0.002512 0.003389 0.004940 0.008668
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001318 0.001588 0.001953 0.002519 0.003457 0.005185 0.009693
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001295 0.001570 0.001949 0.002547 0.003570 0.005552 0.011327
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001259 0.001533 0.001915 0.002527 0.003597 0.005748 0.012606
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001238 0.001517 0.001910 0.002552 0.003707 0.006156 0.015085
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001210 0.001489 0.001887 0.002545 0.003758 0.006438 0.017456
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001175 0.001452 0.001847 0.002508 0.003743 0.006559 0.019252
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001166 0.001449 0.001860 0.002560 0.003913 0.007206 0.025873
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001152 0.001439 0.001860 0.002590 0.004043 0.007798 0.035190
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001123 0.001407 0.001824 0.002554 0.004027 0.007946 0.040995
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001088 0.001364 0.001771 0.002485 0.003932 0.007823 0.042571
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001069 0.001345 0.001754 0.002478 0.003975 0.008168 0.056087
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001025 0.001286 0.001673 0.002352 0.003740 0.007528 0.044257